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$AMPY stock - Testing 52 Weeks High
$AMPY stock - Testing 52 Weeks High
1. What is AMPY?
Small US oil and gas company. Two main assets; Beta (offshore California) and Bairoil (Rockies). Strategy: sell off side assets, focus on these two, pay down debt.
2. Why it looks good
* Proved reserves of 38.1 MMBoe, valued at ~$376M.
* $61M cash on hand after asset sales.
* Stock is cheap; single-digit P/E.
* Debt facility extended to 2028.
* Institutions hold ~43% of shares; steady interest.
3. Q4 2025 earnings (March 9, 2026)
Net income was $64.4M, but ~$54.7M of that came from a one-time asset sale gain. Strip that out, the actual operating performance is not that impressive. Stock rallied after the report.
4. Revenue and EPS (last 4 quarters)
* Q4 2024: $69M revenue, $0.13 EPS
* Q1 2025: $72M revenue, $0.09 EPS
* Q2 2025: $68M revenue, -$0.05 EPS
* Q3 2025: $66M revenue, -$0.15 EPS
* Q4 2025: $57M revenue, $1.53 EPS
Revenue dropping 3 quarters straight. EPS spike in Q4 is fake; one-off gain, not real improvement.
5. Margins
Gross margin is high (~90%), but operating margin is near zero or negative. Meaning; the assets make money, but corporate costs and interest eat it all up.
6. Red flags
* Earnings inflated by one-off gains; recurring profit still unproven.
* Insider sold ~$6.45M in shares (Clint Coghill, March 17, 2026) right after the rally; classic profit-taking.
* Revenue trending down with no clear reversal catalyst.
* If oil drops below $55-60/bbl, cash flow gets tight.
* Dilution risk if they run out of assets to sell and need more capital.
7. Bottom line
Turnaround story; simplify the portfolio, focus on core, cut debt. Thesis works if oil stays above $55-60 and core assets start delivering better margins. But right now, the numbers are propped up by one-off gains, revenue is falling, and an insider just cashed out near the top. Watch for whether real operating cash flow improves from here.
8. Confirmation
Long after a positive breakout above New 52 Weeks High.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMPY/I70Ghzg6-AMPY-stock-Testing-52-Weeks-High/