Thursday, June 12, 2025

EURUSD Long-Term Breakout Setup? Wyckoff + High Volume Breakout

📍 Chart: EURUSD — Monthly
📈 Tools Used: Wyckoff Logic, Volume Profile, Candle Volume Analysis, Trendline Structure

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🔍 Market Context
Since 2015, EURUSD has been ranging between ~1.05 and ~1.15, forming a broad horizontal consolidation zone. This structure appears to resemble a potential long-term accumulation phase, according to Wyckoff theory.

Recently, we've seen a breakout of a multi-year descending trendline, accompanied by a candle with volume significantly above the historical monthly average. This is not a minor signal — it could indicate strong institutional interest and a possible Change of Character (ChoCh).

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📊 Volume Profile Observations
- Volume has been heavily concentrated around the 1.13–1.14 region, suggesting this may act as a springboard for higher prices.
- The breakout candle didn’t yet escape the overall range, but its volume and momentum show a clear deviation from previous attempts.

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📐 Technical Structure
- ✅ Break of descending trendline (in place since 2008 highs)
- 🔺 Monthly close above trendline with strong volume
- 🟧 Price still within the upper half of the 2015–2024 range and pushing

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🧠 Wyckoff Interpretation
This could be a Phase D transition — where price begins testing the upper boundary of the accumulation. If a breakout above 1.20–1.22 occurs with confirmation, we may see Phase E: the mark-up.

In this case, a major macro trend shift may be underway.

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📌 Conclusion
EURUSD may be in the early stages of a long-term bullish reversal. Volume, structure, and context all support this hypothesis — though confirmation would come only with a decisive breakout from the range.

Many trades and allocations oportunities on the way.

Not financial advice. Educational use only.

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🧭 What to watch next:
- 🔹 Monthly close above 1.16 (high volume candle)
- 🔹 Volume confirmation in breakout
- 🔹 Retest of volume cluster around close of high volume candle (1.13-1.14)

source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/G85R91nQ-EURUSD-Long-Term-Breakout-Setup-Wyckoff-High-Volume-Breakout/

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Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Go with the flow and seize the gold trading opportunity

Gold OANDA:XAUUSD

TP_Daniel5

Gold rose and fell yesterday due to the influence of CPI data, and fluctuated violently during the session. There were obvious signs of a wash. In the evening, it rose again driven by the news, closed positive on the daily line, continued its strong upward trend at the opening and set a new high, showing an obvious bullish pattern. The overall structure maintains the bullish idea of low-long and trend-following.

From the 4H cycle, gold rose continuously after stepping back and stabilizing the middle track. The moving average system showed a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger band opened and expanded, further confirming the continuation of the strong pattern. However, the current price is still running within the triangle convergence range, and has not yet effectively broken. It is not advisable to blindly chase more in the short term.

In terms of operation, it is recommended to take the step back and do more. Pay attention to the short-term support below the 3360-3358 range, and focus on the 3350-3340 range. You can rely on the support to arrange long orders in batches. Pay attention to the 3389 and 3400 areas on the upper short-term pressure. If the high is weak, you can try short-selling in combination with the actual trend.

Operation suggestion: It is recommended to buy gold near 3340-3350, and the target is 3366 and 3382. If it is strong, it is recommended to buy gold at the support of 3358-3360!

All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!

source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/ZGb13xYZ-Go-with-the-flow-and-seize-the-gold-trading-opportunity/